Blacksmith Multicast

[Ar7style]

:blac::blac::blac::blac:

So, i tried to check the thread with a lil heart on it but it didnt answer the question i had in mind :p

I want to know the chance to get a multicast with level 3 ulti

id usually say it would be 1-(0.5)*(0.25)*(0.125) = 0.98xxx :blac::blac: (guess my math skills SUCK)

but i doubt u get a multicast 98% of the time at level 16

so how can i find out how big ze chance is? :blac:

[coley]

every one is a 4x, no questions.

[Jayykob]

<fail>
Isnt it just 0.125 + 0.25 + 0.5 = 0.875?
it means 87.5% chance of any multicast with lvl 3 ulti

If it is correct then 0.125 + 0.25 = 0.375
which means 37.5% chance of any multicast with lvl 2 ulti
</fail>

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
FAIL, DO NOT TAKE THIS AS CORRECT!

[Deemzul]

50% chance.

[Wankerjoe]

Beats me I never get any multicasts lawl.

[DierdrA]

1-P("no multicast") = 1-(0.5*0.75*0.875) = ~66% (not sure though)

[Sku1l]

Check that thread : http://forums.heroesofnewerth.com/showthread.php?t=185350

The post #4 pretty well explain how the ultimate works (roll 1-8 , if the awnser is 1,2,3 or 4 it give no multicast ; if the awnser is 5 or 6 it give X2 multicast ; if the awnser is 7 it give a X3 multicast ; if the awnser is 8 it give X4 multicast)

So for your question : chance to NOT get a multicast at all = 50% (4/8)
So logically chance to get any multicast = 50% (12.5% [4X] + 12,5% [3X] +25% [2X])

[Ar7style]

So its 50% chance, to get a multicast overall : ) thx

[Jayykob]

Simplified table:
Multicast x 1 (no multicast) = 50%
Multicast x 2 = 25%
Multicast x 3 = 12.5%
Multicast x 4 = 12.5%

Tbh I failed before